MSRI
Multidimensional Scam Risk Index

Data sources

Where each indicator's evidence comes from, reviewed in October 2026. Of the 14 indicators, 10 can be scored from public evidence. 4 are not yet sourced and are shown that way rather than estimated.

Approach

Scam compounds are local: a casino strip, an economic zone, a border town. Most data that can be collected automatically is country-level. So location scores are set by analysts applying a fixed rubric to cited evidence. Automated feeds supply country baselines and candidate evidence for review: ACLED conflict-event counts and US and UK sanctions designations. A weekly monitor of news (GDELT) and UN and NGO reports (ReliefWeb) flags new leads for analysts. Nothing is published automatically, and every entry is approved by a second person.

Every score records its sources, as-of date, and confidence. Sources are checked for license terms before use, and data that can't be redistributed is never shown in raw form.

Analyst-scoredNot yet sourced

Financial flows can't be scored anywhere yet. Cross-border micro-transactions need aggregate data from bank or financial intelligence unit partners, and shell company density has no reliable public source, so the dimension falls below the half-of-indicators threshold. Its weight is shared among the other dimensions until that data exists.

Indicators

Governance & rule of law

SEZ oversight gap
UNODC and USIP reports, SEZ and casino license records, investigative journalismMeasured at: Zone
Analyst-scored
Armed / elite control
ACLED conflict-event counts near each location (counts only, never raw events), sanctions designations of armed groupsMeasured at: Geocoded events
Analyst-scored
Gray-market finance history
Gambling license records, FATF mutual evaluations, US/UK sanctions, FinCEN actionsMeasured at: Location
Analyst-scored

Labor & migration

Irregular migration inflow
IOM DTM (limited coverage), migrant labor statistics, repatriation countsMeasured at: Country / corridor
Not yet sourced
Recruitment pipeline activity
Embassy advisories naming locations, INTERPOL operation reports, NGO and academic studiesMeasured at: Location
Analyst-scored
Worker grievance access
US TIP Report, ILO country reports, NGO field reportsMeasured at: Country, adjusted per location
Analyst-scored

Financial flows

Cross-border micro-transaction volume
Requires aggregate data from financial institution or FIU partnersMeasured at: —
Not yet sourced
Shell company / nominee density
Front companies named in sanctions and investigations; registries are patchyMeasured at: Registered address
Not yet sourced
Crypto on-ramp exposure
OFAC designations with digital-currency addresses, FinCEN findings; volume needs a partnerMeasured at: Network → location
Analyst-scored

Digital platform

Scam IP / domain density
Spamhaus, phishing feeds; VPNs and satellite internet defeat sub-national attributionMeasured at: Country at best
Not yet sourced
Platform enforcement actions
Platform threat and transparency reports (Meta, OpenAI, Google)Measured at: Country, sometimes location
Analyst-scored

Protection capacity

Survivor referral network access
US TIP Report (protection), IOM, UNODC referral mechanism data, IJMMeasured at: Country + known referral points
Analyst-scored
Non-criminalizing enforcement
US TIP Report, OHCHR, Fortify Rights, reporting on treatment of rescued workersMeasured at: Country, adjusted per location
Analyst-scored
Displacement-safe response
MSRI's verified incident timeline, UNODC reporting, investigative journalismMeasured at: Location
Analyst-scored

Country baselines

Country-level context shown alongside location scores. These are not scored as indicators.

SourceUsed forUpdatedLicense
World Bank Worldwide Governance IndicatorsGovernance contextAnnualCC BY 4.0
Transparency International CPICorruption contextAnnualCC BY 4.0
World Bank income classificationLabor vulnerability contextAnnualCC BY 4.0
US Trafficking in Persons ReportTier ranking, protection contextAnnualPublic domain
FATF grey and black listsAML context3× per yearPublic